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CEO Confidence hits lowest level ever

Business leaders remain ‘extremely pessimistic'

Furniture Today Staff -- Furniture Today, January 16, 2009

NEW YORK — The Conference Board measure of CEO Confidence, which had posted a slight increase in the third quarter, declined sharply in the fourth quarter of 2008.

The measure currently stands at 24, down from 40 in the third quarter (a reading of more than 50 points reflects more positive than negative responses). The survey includes about 100 business leaders in a wide range of industries.

CEO Confidence is at the lowest level ever recorded since the survey was first conducted in the second quarter of 1976. And, this marks only the second time the measure has fallen below 30. The last time was during the second quarter of 1980, when it stood at 29.

"The erosion in CEO confidence is a reflection of the rapid and severe deterioration in economic conditions experienced in the final months of 2008," said Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board's Consumer Research Center. "Looking ahead, CEOs remain extremely pessimistic about overall economic prospects in the first half of 2009."

CEOs' assessment of current economic conditions turned even more pessimistic. Currently, none say conditions have improved, compared to 6% last quarter. In assessing their own industries, business leaders were equally as pessimistic. Only 1% claim conditions are better, down from 7% in the previous quarter.

Looking ahead six months, the outlook remains negative. Currently, about 11% of business leaders expect economic conditions to improve in the next six months, down from approximately 20% last quarter. Expectations for their own industries were also pessimistic.

Only 12% of CEOs anticipate an improvement in the months ahead, down from 17% last quarter.

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