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Confidence nosedives to lowest since Oct. '93

By Furniture Today Staff -- Furniture Today, March 2, 2003

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell nearly 15 points in February and now stands at 64 points, the lowest since October 1993, when it reached 60.5. The Expectations Index dropped 15.5 points and the Present Situation Index fell 13.7 points.

Looking ahead six months, survey participants retrenched on buying plans for big-ticket items, with the exception of home buying. In February, 3.8% of respondents planned to buy a home within six months, compared with 3.6% in January.

The percentage planning to buy a car within six months dropped from 6.8% in January to 6.5% in February, and 26.4% reported plans to buy a major appliance, a decrease from 28.2% in January.

Business conditions six months hence were expected to be worse than current conditions by 19%, up from 14% a month ago. More than a quarter of respondents also predicted fewer jobs ahead — 28.4% of participants in February, compared with 21.2% in January.

Lynn Franco, director of the board's Consumer Research Center, said, "Lackluster job and financial markets, rising fuel costs and the increasing threat of war and terrorism appear to have taken a toll on consumers."

Franco added, "This month's confidence readings paint a gloomy picture of current economic conditions, with no apparent rebound on the short-term horizon."

The index is based on a representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households.

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